Raila: Kenya's greatest risk factor

Raila: Kenya's great threat

Raila Odinga, NASA leader and his surrogates, are Kenya’s greatest stability risk. He has earned this dubious distinction because he is; Capricious, deceptive, disruptive, malicious and destructive- all these adjectives rolled into one.

His singular desire to be Kenya’s president at whatever cost has built in him a bitter and malicious man who, according to a Europe based intelligence network, “will not blink if Kenya burns if that is the price to be paid for him to get into the government”

 An accomplished mobilizer, Raila excels in deception, misleading a lot of people to believe his lies.  Among these lies is that his win for the top seat in Kenya is always stolen through rigging.  

The butt of his lies is always the electoral commission. In the three electoral cycles, he has destroyed three Commissions always accusing them of helping rig him out. And in his zeal to cover up his lies, he never hesitates to use extra-legal means to get his way.

 His stock- in- trade is mass protests. He mobilizes his goons for street protests and destruction which intimidates narrow and short-sighted community leaders including the diplomatic community to pressurize the government to cave in to his demands.

The religious groups, particularly, the Protestant church, has thus unwittingly become Raila’s stair-case to getting his way. The church, supported by the diplomatic community, has always led in mediation efforts that end helping him discard the due to process to get his way and escape culpability for crimes commit
ted by his goons.

That is how the church helped him get rid of the Isaack Hassan led, Independent Electoral and Boundaries commission last year, just a few months to the election contrary to the Law. The law requires that the commission be in place two years before the election.

 Yet Raila easily hides behind the same law to frustrate efforts by the government to make laws that could make it difficult for him to rise to power by Kangaroo means. Isaack Hassan, in a forth coming book has described Raila as a “chronic loser who always blames the electoral commission.”

Uhuru: Outsmarted Raila

Once the Electoral commission has been projected as a lackey of the ruling party, his surrogates spread the message to his supporters who are easily mobilized for street demos.

The demos are meant to cow the country into ceding to Raila’s whims and to cover up his lies.

Raila has no qualms whatsoever destroying someone’s career and credibility if that person does not dance to his whims. That is how malicious and destructive he is.

Raila has not won any Presidential election in Kenya. That is a fact. Instead, he and his surrogates try to sabotage the results by incessant protests. Thomas Letangule, Isaack Hassan’s deputy at IEBC also in his book, accused ODM agents of trying to sabotage Kenyatta’s election in 2013.

Neither did he win the 2017 election. He sabotaged it by taking fake evidence to the Supreme Court which sabotaged Kenyan’s will by invalidating the election. That invalidation is now the subject of criminal investigation. Here, it seems, the Supreme Court will pay the price of entertaining Raila’s petition and even invalidating the Presidential election.

Rioting Mobs : destruction in name of democracy

Where he excels in Mobilization he fails in strategy. He is a poor strategist and winning in is about a good winning strategy. He surrounds himself with minority groups that cannot take him to state house. While it may appear like he has a national reach, he does not have the necessary numbers to win a Presidential election.

This is why his strategy is to create a national tension by projecting his supporters as victims of rigging.  In 2007 the strategy, crafted by among others, Prof. Anyang Nyong’o the current Kisumu Governor; Prof. Wanyade and Adams Oloo, was designed to project that year’s election as a match between Kenyans against the Kikuyu, 42 against one was the campaign mantra.

This strategy has only mobilized the kikuyu and their cousins around Mount Kenya against Raila. Winning a Presidential vote is about numbers and he does not have that.

 Apart from destroying careers, Raila is also adept at destroying the economy. His goons pillage shops, rob pedestrians and passengers in vandalized vehicles and destroy property during riots which crime he quickly blames on the Police ineptitude.
Yet the entire Luo Nyanza backyard is steeped in poverty, want and bitterness which he quickly blames on successive Kikuyu led governments.

This pick- pocket mentality which diverts attention from one’s culpability to another person, has reduced the hapless Luo youth to a powder keg that needs only a spark to explode. But if you dig deeper into the charade, you’ll find Raila Odinga’s hand in the sad state of his community.

For instance, in the first decade of this 21^st century, Rarieda MP, one Raphael Tuju, introduced the Mobile clinic concept to serve his people. The Clinics were destroyed and grounded by Raila goons when he differed with Tuju who publicly refused to worship Raila. They have become victims of his deceit and greed for power.

 Nothing lasts forever however, and it seems Raila has finally met his waterloo. As a chronic loser, Raila is damaged goods. Raila finally shot himself in the foot twice in the current election impasse. His strategy backfired when Uhuru Kenyatta, the winner in the recent elections, accepted the Supreme Court’s ruling invalidating his election.

Raila had operated on the premise that Uhuru would reject the ruling and thus lead to chaos. With this ace gone, he went about with his usual lawlessness blaming IEBC for his loss. Then Safaricom, OT Morpho, Chiloba, Chebukati et al. Every Noise in Press Conferences but in the campaign trail.

 Finally, he pretended to pull out of the race by announcing it to the media but failing to follow the procedure for withdrawal.

 Meanwhile the High Court ruled that all presidential candidates for the nullified election should be allowed to contest on October 26, 2017. In that ruling the high court shot down the Supreme Court opinion of 2013 as unbinding. That ruling was the basis for Raila’s withdrawal from the Presidential race hoping to sabotage it further.

This time around, the man appears completely marooned in his own failures. The diplomatic community has stood aside and the Church is mum. Financiers are hard to come by except a few NGOs fronted by people with whom he plotted the 1982 coup. The man has run out of options and his fortunes are facing south. What’s he to do? His goose is cooked and the presidency will probably remain one of his unfulfilled desires of a life time.