Thursday, 23 November 2017

Back to abnormal. Raila is done!

Supreme Court: Sealed RAO's career

The Supreme Court of Kenya on Monday this week sealed Raila Odinga’s political fate. By upholding Uhuru Kenyatta’s re-election on October 26th, it  paved the way for Kenya to go back to abnormal because Raila is done!

Go back to abnormal? To many Kenyans normal is going back to their normal routine. That’s true. But one “normal” will be missing- regular disruptions by Raila Odinga and his surrogates. Odingaism is Kaput!
 The old man, a very good mobilizer but a poor strategist brought this on himself.  He chose the wrong path to State House and has never learnt from his previous failures, probably because he believes his own lies. He created an impression of a national outlook in his party by surrounding himself with communities that do not have the numbers to take him to state house, unless he is running alone! That was a sure way to keep him in the opposition benches.
 Politics is about numbers and persuasion. He is very poor in both. He was a poor student at school both in Kenya and East Germany, where he took to so long to understand basic concepts. That poor scholarly aptitude is echoed in the political school where he has failed to grasp a basic truth about numbers and politics.
He failed completely to penetrate the vote-rich central Rift valley and Mount Kenya region due to his brinkmanship- he believes in bullying, intimidation, disruption and violence which put-off many Kenyans, including his late father, Jaramogi Odinga Oginga. This was noted as a major weakness by his Marxism instructors in East Germany who found him disorganized, disruptive and lawless-never kept time for instance, says an EU council intelligence. Even to date he has few friends in Kenya.
 He is unruly and does not belief in due process. This character almost brought the Supreme Court of Kenya, which invalidated Uhuru’s win in August 8th, into disrepute.  Instead of obeying the Court’s orders, by going to campaign, he resorted to disruptive tactics- making demands for personnel changes at the IEBC and a plethora of other demands unrelated to the elections.  
When his will hit a stone all, he pretended to withdraw from the election and when that failed, he called for the boycott of the elections. Despite this call and the violent blockade of voters in his Luo Nyanza, the election still went ahead and he lost by seven million votes.
Jimmi wanjigi: Investment gone to waste?
This author predicted after the nullification of Uhuru’s win in September that Raila was handed a rope to hang himself by the Supreme Court. The same court drove the final nail in his political career’s coffin On Monday. “Now he can kick as much as he pleases,” to quote Shaka the Zulu king of the 17th Century.
And now his options are limited. One way that seems open to him, is open defiance and probably getting sworn in as President. This is high treason which carries a mandatory death sentence.  There is also the international Criminal Court, which is monitoring his activities and would surely relish a date with him. Will he take that route? Only time will tell.
The entry of ICC into the picture is a pointer to his declining popularity in the West. His recent trips to the US and Britain were flops. He has painted himself into a corner.
But for the time being, he and his surrogates have no option but to rant and yell-shouting intimidating slogans whose viability is next to Zero. Only one result is possible- failure.
 The journey to Canaan is over. It’s back to the wilderness for him and his surrogates, a failure that will spawn a string of destitute people, who hanged on his coat labels.
Topping the casualty list is businessman, Jimmi Wanjigi, who invested billions of shillings funding Raila and NASA in an attempt to bring Uhuru down. Instead, he could end up going down the drain as the billions he blew up supporting Raila could turn out to be a complete waste.
 He supported NASA on the understanding that if the party wins, he shall get almost all mega infrastructure and security contracts amounting to Kshs 2.27 trillion. From these he hoped to make Ksh 400 billion in profits. This made investing tens of billions a worthy investment. Chances are he is facing another five years of financial drought which spells doom for the tenderprenuer.
The self- proclaimed “Father of political patronage” like all other party supporters are living in denial. They still brag that they shall install Raila as president. That remains to be seen. However, one thing is certain, Uhuru will ensure that Wanjigi is cut to size. He has already crippled his two major projects, the SGR and the second terminal at JKIA. There is no reason to belief any other projects will not be crippled in future- if he ever gets them that is.
With Wanjigi trimmed, the protest industry emerges as the next potential destitute. Without Wanjigi bankrolling it, It is dead. Some NGOs may try to fit in his ugly shoes, but they are also equally vulnerable. The end for street protest over every little matter is nigh, hence our abnormal future.
Raila: Made a disastrous blunder
Another destitute lot are the country parliaments that have rushed to pass the “People assembly” law. They could be disbanded and their counties placed under the national government clipping Raila’s wings further. Without MCAs to mobilize goons, he is a sitting duck.
 There is talk of sabotage, that is, all NASA MPs and Senators will resign en-mass citing dissatisfaction with the president. This is a probable move, but a disastrous one, just like the People’s assembly. It remains to be seen how many MPs would risk their salaries now to go to a new election. There is serious doubt whether more than 100 MPs would resign. And even if they did, 100 out of a 290 member house is a minority that can be filled through by-elections.
This is one idea that is appealing but impracticable. Just like the boycott idea, this will add to a string of failures in the past. These include: Okoa Kenya; the journey to Canaan; boycotting certain companies and products; labour unrest in critical sectors of the public service such as Doctors, Nurses, teachers, lecturers; boycott of elections and finally NRM. Raila was out foxed at every turn and now he appears headed for the oblivion.
He has two choices in his journey to oblivion: Either exit the stage quietly and peacefully or take the path to self-destruction- violence and defiance. Either way, the destination is oblivion! What is not clear is how soon the journey will end.




Friday, 17 November 2017

ODM leads the Corruption Tag-Team in Kenya

John Mbadi :A thief investigating himself?
 Contrary to public pronouncements, Raila Odinga’s party, ODM is in the thick of the plunder of Kenya.A Lengthy investigation by this publication has established that there is a tag-team of corruption in Kenya.
 The team comprises of wealthy businessmen, politicians, the media and some so-called activists.
This is how it works: an official frustrates a businessman’s scheme to plunder Kenya; the miffed businessman concocts some scandal targeting the official in question, he hands the scandal to a an ODM politician or a miffed one too; the politician hands it to a friendly reporter who splashes the story, other politicians and activists pick up the cue and the chorus of condemnation begins.
Since the businessmen tag along politicians in the schemes to plunder Kenya, the politician is also miffed because he also lost in the same deal.
Waiguru: Hounded out by the
 Corruption Tag- team
The team, currently starring Jimmi Wanjigi, Raila Odinga and ODM, is going through a lean season, frustrated by the Uhuruto administration and is fighting back in all fronts.
In fact, the tag-team seems deadset on regime change. The reason; another five years of Kenyatta administration will cripple them financially.  This is the last one battle for their survival.
This team has in the past spun “scandals’ that have destroyed careers and brought the Kenyatta administration into disrepute, investigation by this publication have established.  However, our investigation has established, all “scandals” were hot air.
Our review of several allegations of mega corruption in Kenya such as the (in) famous Euro Bond saga, the SGR saga in Kenya and Uganda found them to be mere malicious tiffs by corrupt businessmen, in Kenya, called “tenderprenuers.”
“Tenderprenuers” are characters who specialize in winning government mega tenders, then sale them to the real providers for a fee. They themselves never provide a thing. In some instances, they originate the projects and sale them to corrupt government officials.
A pattern emerged from our tracking of the scandals: One, they all originate with ODM officials; the same officials never take the reports to the investigative agencies; that ODM dominated parliamentary committees are the first off the blocks to investigate such scandals; that the investigative agencies always find no evidence to back the allegations; that some politicians in these committees are interested parties since they also have their fingers in the cookie jar.
It is common Knowledge that investigation by Parliamentary committees attract massive publicity but carry no weight in prosecution of the alleged scams. Their job is merely to cover-up the real intention of the scam-to demonize and get uncooperative officials removed from office.
The cases hardly ever find their way into investigative and prosecution agencies. And where they do, they are almost always thrown out. Consequently, none of the alleged cases are ever prosecuted due to lack of evidence. The alleged culprits are tried and prosecuted in the press, public meetings and street demonstrations funded by the tenderprenuers.
In all cases, the “whistle blowers” who are in most cases, the culprits, avoid investigative bodies like the plague. In one such case, CORD politicians in Kenya mobilized their members to demonstrate when it became clear that their leader, Raila Odinga, was to be arrested for failing to honor summons by an investigative agency over the Eurobond saga.
In some instances, politicians, worried that their cover could be blown, even try to direct the investigations -telling investigators what to investigate, who to investigate and where to stop.
The tales are spun to either get unwanted people out of the way or just to embarrass the government.  A case in point is the alleged NYS plunder which cost the then Minister for Devolution and planning, Anne Waiguru, her job. As it turned out, Waiguru may have stood in the way of a tenderprenuer who was eyeing a Kshs16 billion security tender at NYS among other targeted projects.
The Isaack Hassan led IEBC was destroyed in a similar manner,when it refused to axe OT Morpho for Smartmatic to supply voter identification Kits. The company is owned by Lord Mark –Mahlom Brown a friend of Raila Odinga.   Ezra Chiloba, the new CEO also rejected the Smartmatic bid and is also a target of the tag-team.
Embankments(Soil Refill) and bridges account 30% of costs
This is the same reason the same politicians are calling for the boycott of Safaricom. The firm won a Kshs 14 billion contract to install surveillance cameras in Nairobi and Mombasa. A local tenderprenuer considers security contracts in Kenya his forte. It is through such tenders that he, together with others, looted billions of shillings of tax payer money.
 By 2004, such crooks had looted a total of US$700 million (Kshs56 billion in the then exchange rates), says a diplomatic cable seen by this publication. One reputedly pocketed US$5 million (Kshs 400 million in the current exchange rate then).
In their hurry to scandalize a project, the whistle blowers overlook critical details, resulting in a half-baked stories of criminal activity. This was the case in Eurobond saga, in which an alleged Kshs100 billion was stolen. Electronic Funds transfer documents show that the money was transferred to the Central Bank of Kenya’s account at the Federal Reserve, in New York. And that the Central bank, which is the banker to the government, paid the equivalent in Shillings to the consolidated account.
The scandal was just hot hair whose purpose was to embarrass the government by miffed tenderprenuers. There is no evidence any money was ever stolen.
 Deception was common in the on the standard gauge Railway “scandal.” Both MPs and journalists ignored mundane design parameters such as design capacity and design standards. To them SGR is SGR. That is why they were quick to use Ethiopia as role model because it had completed the first electric Standard Gauge Railway in Africa from Addis Ababa to Djibouti, a distance of 755 Kilometres at a cost of $3.4 billion.
This compares adversely with the $3.2 billion that the 600 Kilometre Mombasa-Nairobi section cost. The press was awash with hogwash. Some suggesting that huge chunks of money were stolen, a figure of Kshs 100billion was bandied around. But evidence has emerged of tenderprenuers, who lost the bid to construct the Railway line as a PPP project, conceiving and funding the “scandal.”
The Mombasa Super bridge of the SGR
 A comparison of the detailed designs tells a different story. The Kenyan Railway is class one Chinese standard rail line whose gradient was 1.2 percent. That meant construction of a total of 79 bridges totaling 35 kilometres. Some of the bridges are kilometres long.
Engineers say that bridges contribute 30 per cent of total cost of building a Railway line. That means where bridges and embankments are fewer, the cost is lower. That is the case with the Ethiopian SGR which has only level -crossings and only one 150 meter- long bridge.
A report seen by this publication suggests that the Nairobi- Kisumu – Malaba section of the SGR will cost more per kilometer due to the terrain in the Rift valley. It will require bridges and tunnels to ensure that the locomotives hauling 800 meter- long double –stacked wagons or 4,000 tons maintain a steady 80 KPH throughout the journey.
One more detail, both the Tanzanian and Ethiopian lines, are upgrades of the old Railway line apart from being of an inferior quality compared to Northern corridor. The Northern Corridor SGR is a Greenfield project.



Monday, 6 November 2017

Boycott? It’s Jimmi Wanjigi’s Vendetta!


The Puppet megalomaniac
  The calls by NASA/NRM to boycott certain companies and their products is Jimmi Wanjigi’s revenge attack, we can report.  Raila Odinga is just the puppet, doing his master’s will while NASA members are pawns in game of greed for wealth and power. Raila shall only gain the droppings from their high table, warn international intelligence sources.
Jimmi has sworn to bring  Kenyatta  down because he put Jubilee in office and Jubilee betrayed him by blocking his plundering ways.  In a tweet on his twitter handle he says: “Jubilee was my brainchild, laid out the blueprint and  filled it with the occupants all in my basement. And bring it down I will! Watch my pace!”
Wanjigi, who made his wealth through shady deals during the Kibaki regime, cobbled together Jubilee Alliance from URP and TNA led by William Ruto and Uhuru Kenyatta, respectively in 2012, ahead of that year’s election. He had hoped that they would look the other side as he plundered Kenya.
It was a miscalculation for as soon as they assumed office, they abandoned him and blocked his plundering schemes. Among the schemes was the US$9 billion Standard Gauge Railway and the US$600 million Greenfield passenger terminal at the Jomo Kenyatta International Airport in Nairobi.
JW: Instability Kingpin
The battle it seems is, not just economic sabotage and destruction of target companies, but also a strong arm way of gaining free stake in both the target companies and also their competitors.  Destroying opponents is Raila Odinga’s stock-in-trade.
And destroying Kenya for his selfish gains is no big deal, warns the EU council for foreign relations. “He will not blink if Kenya goes over the cliff, if that is the price to be paid for a place for him in the government,” it concludes.  
He destroyed the IEBC commission led by Isaack Hassan because they stood in his way of earning Kick- backs from IEBC related businesses.  It is for the same reason that he led an onslaught against the current IEBC, Chief Executive, Ezra Chiloba.
 Safaricom, sources say is targeted because it also did not play ball with Raila’s friends, smartmatic international, which had bid to Supply IEBC with the Voter identification kits. Smartmatic international, in this bid tried to rope in Safaricom in order to strengthen its case. Safaricom turned down the offer and that is why it is a target of Raila’s ire. Smartmatic international is owned by Raila’s friend, Mark Mahlon- Brown, a British member of the House of Lords and a former UNDP boss.
The destruction Safaricom, it is hoped, will pave way for the growth of Airtel which will be arm twisted to offer them a stake. Bidco Africa is also being bullied for the same reasons. “Don’t be surprised to find Raila or Jimmi and their surrogates owning a stake in the companies in future,” said a Nairobi based business analysts.  The only companies that are being bullied for vendetta reasons are Brookside and Equity Bank, he added.  
Jimmi Wanjigi, who in his twitter page introduces himself as the Godfather of Political patronage, strong -armed Raila into signing several agreements that made him the de facto king pin in a Raila government, says a review by the British Foreign and Commonwealth affairs office.  In return JW, as they refer to him, funded his entire Presidential campaign for Kshs 10 billion.
In the agreement, NASA, the coalition of tribal kingpins that he cobbled together must win the elections and if they fail, force a grand coalition by all means. NASA lost the August 8th election. He petitioned and won the petition when the Supreme Court annulled Kenyatta’s election.
 Raila’s hope was Kenyatta would reject the Supreme Court ruling leading to an explosion of violence country wide. That never happened thus scuttling his scheme.  He did not participate in the fresh elections ordered by the Supreme Court. Instead, he engaged in a series of suicidal activities culminating in his withdrawal from the election hopping to scuttle the process. That too failed.
Mark Brown: Another puppeteer
JImmi in his tweets seems to acknowledge that Kenyatta is a strategist, citing the lack of quorum at the Supreme Court on Oct25th, which scuttled their   attempts to derail the elections slated for the next day. He also cites the ban of Kura yangu Sauti Yangu and “We the people” NGOs as a good strategy.
The current administration is the greatest stumbling block to this scheme hence the need to replace it. The plotters identified Raila Odinga as their man, nay “Kijana ya Mkono,” their puppet.
Jimmi Wanjigi, has been plotting to overthrow President Uhuru Kenyatta’s government since 2013 as it frustrated his plans to plunder Kenya.
The target resources include; oil in the Lokichar basin, the bullet factory at Eldoret, a string of Infrastructure projects and hardware supplies to the Security forces in Kenya. These conduits are expected to earn the Mandarins anything up to Kshs 3.0 trillion in five years!
A British Foreign and Commonwealth Office report notes that Wanjigi, apart from eyeing government projects, is also gunning to chase out of Kenya, Tullow oil and its partner, from Lokichar basin. The British report says that Wanjigi was plotting to bring in Asian explorers for a stake in the basin estimated to hold 23 billion barrels of Crude oil. It also suggests that he is planning to set up a militia to Keep NASA in check should they grown horns.
The Kenyatta administration is the stumbling block to all these goals hence the need to replace it. So A school of thought is emerging that Uhuru should play hardball with Raila after swearing- in.
It is not clear that Uhuru will opt for the no holds-barred approach. Instead, he could lay a trap for Raila and lead him into it. Raila and some of his officials are already on the ICC radar. Uhuru could allow, and even egg Raila into the trap.

Wanjigi, in his tweets seems to recognize this trap. How he manouevres through this trap and still get his way remains to be seen.